AGP Executive Report

Monsoon Flood Watch (Punjab/Chenab): River levels are rising fast across Punjab as monsoon rains push flows higher at key barrages, with high flood conditions reported at Qadirabad Headworks on the Chenab and continued flooding risk along the Ravi and Indus systems; authorities are monitoring and evacuations are underway where people get stranded. Monsoon Deaths (KP & Punjab): Heavy rains and flash floods in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa have killed at least 18 people since July 19, with dozens injured, while Punjab also reported multiple rain-related deaths and injuries across several districts. Glacier-Melt Risk (GB/KP): The Pakistan Meteorological Department warns that accelerated snow and glacier melt, combined with rainfall, could trigger riverbank erosion and localized flooding in glaciated valleys, urging communities to stay alert. Water Security & Flood Alerts: PMD and flood authorities issue advisories for possible rapid rises and urban flooding as rainfall continues across major catchments. Indus Waters Tensions: India again raised the Indus Waters Treaty at the UNSC, linking it to cross-border terrorism claims, keeping water diplomacy in the spotlight. Tech Push (Robotics): PM Shehbaz launched a robotics push and a $20m venture fund, aiming to reduce dependence on foreign tech and link innovation to agriculture and climate resilience. Credit & Reforms: S&P upgraded Pakistan’s sovereign rating to B, citing reform implementation and improved stability, while IMF talks highlighted progress on fiscal and external balances. Cotton Shock: A report says Pakistan’s cotton output has fallen by more than half, costing billions annually and pointing to policy delays and climate/pest impacts.

Monsoon Flood Watch (Punjab/Chenab): Heavy rains are keeping flood conditions active across Punjab, with low-level flooding at Chashma and Jinnah barrages and elevated Chenab levels at Head Marala, while authorities stay on high alert. Monsoon Forecast (National): PMD warns more widespread intermittent rains and gusty winds across Islamabad/Rawalpindi, KP, Punjab, Kashmir, and GB, with landslides and flash flooding risks in vulnerable hill areas and urban inundation in major cities. Urban Drainage Crisis (Lahore): Lahore’s downpours submerged key roads and underpasses, disrupted traffic, and exposed drainage weaknesses after a fatal electrocution incident. KP Rain Toll: In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, PDMA reports at least 20 deaths and 19 injuries since July 19, with flash floods, roof collapses, and damage to homes and farmland. Water Security & Cleanup (Islamabad): CDA, MCI and JazzWorld mobilised 200+ volunteers to remove about two tonnes of garbage from Rawal Dam areas, pushing cleaner water protection. Water Governance (Gender): A “Women and Water” dialogue calls for gender-responsive water governance, highlighting how water insecurity and contamination hit women hardest. Climate & Nature: A study links rising CO₂ levels to shrinking pollinator populations in some regions, raising new concerns for biodiversity and food systems.

Monsoon Flood Watch: Pakistan’s NDMA has issued a nationwide alert for flash floods, urban flooding and landslides through July 24 as monsoon rains intensify; Punjab’s PDMA reports rising river flows and low-level flooding at key Indus and Chenab points, with officials urging people in low-lying areas to move to safer spots. Punjab Response: CM Maryam Nawaz ordered commissioners and DCs to stay on high alert, keep WASA machinery ready, and speed up drainage to prevent urban waterlogging across Lahore and other districts. GB Development Push: PM Shehbaz met Gilgit-Baltistan CM Amjad Hussain, reaffirming federal support for renewable energy, tourism, healthcare and education, including a planned 100MW solar project. Governance Tech: The PM launched an AI-based Prime Minister Office System to digitally track and monitor every directive from issuance to completion. Economy—US Backstop Bid: Pakistan has reportedly asked the US for a $10bn exchange stabilisation facility to bolster foreign reserves and ease rupee pressure, following finance minister talks in Washington. Security—BLA-TTP Alliance: Analysts warn that recent BLA and TTP attacks in Balochistan show the growing impact of their alliance, raising risks for stability and investment. Health—Medicine Shortages: Rights and health voices flag a widening medicines access crisis, saying affordability is meaningless when key hardship-category drugs are missing.

Monsoon Disaster Watch: Flash floods in Afghanistan’s Nuristan are killing people and leaving over 100 missing as rescuers search Parun amid warnings of fresh surges. Pakistan Weather Alert: NDMA and PMD warn of heavy monsoon rains, flash flooding, landslides and urban waterlogging across northern areas and Punjab, with Lahore and Islamabad/Rawalpindi among the affected. Local Impact in AJK: A cloudburst in Neelum Valley destroyed homes, swept away bridges and disrupted the Neelum Highway, while more rain is forecast through July 25. Digital Governance: PM Shehbaz launched an AI-based Prime Minister Office System (PMOS) to digitise directives and track implementation, pushing ministries to move away from paper files. Online Safety for Youth: PTA and Meta signed a youth online safety and digital literacy pact, focusing on safer content practices and public awareness. Energy & Diplomacy: Pakistan stepped up mediation on Iran-US tensions as Iran’s interior minister visited Islamabad, while petroleum talks with Kuwait’s KUFPEC focused on expanding upstream investment. Water Politics: Pakistan renewed its push for Indus Waters Treaty restoration, but Canada offered no clear public endorsement. Tourism Pressure in PoGB: Residents in Gilgit-Baltistan accuse Islamabad of neglecting tourism due to poor infrastructure and security checkpoints. Wildlife Invasion Note: Burmese pythons are spreading in Florida beyond the Everglades, a reminder of how invasive species can rapidly expand.

EU GSP+ Watch: The EU says Pakistan’s GSP+ review is near, with exports worth $7.5bn and tariff cuts worth $730m at stake, as a monitoring mission will scrutinise human rights and governance commitments. Monsoon Flooding: Low-level flooding has been reported along the Indus and Chenab, with Tarbela and Kalabagh storage lower than last year; authorities are monitoring flows as heavy rain continues. Indus Waters Treaty Tension: India says the treaty can’t work “in its present form” and will stay in abeyance unless Pakistan ends cross-border terrorism, while Pakistan’s stance is being criticised as “double standards.” Trade Boost with Canada: Pakistan and Canada agreed to revive trade and investment ties, accelerate FIPA talks, and Canada pledged over $47m for security and development. Energy Prices: Pakistan’s weekly fuel update raised HSD by Rs5.71/l and cut petrol by Rs0.35/l, amid ongoing industry concerns about daily pricing uncertainty. Access to Justice for Women: CJP Yahya Afridi backed women facilitation centres to make justice safer and more dignified. Workplace Harassment Ruling: A federal ombudsperson upheld a demotion in a harassment/blackmail case, stressing harassment can include intimidation and fear. Flood Deaths in KP: Monsoon-related flash floods in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa killed at least six, with rescue teams recovering victims in Landi Kotal.

Flood Watch: Monsoon rains are pushing river levels up across Punjab, with the Chenab expected to surge after heavy rain in Indian-occupied Kashmir and fresh downpours in Punjab; the Flood Forecasting Division warns of high flood levels in the Chenab, Jhelum and Ravi systems through July 24, while Nullah Dek and other streams are already seeing rising flows. Urban Rain Impacts: Lahore saw heavy rainfall on Monday (up to 96mm in Gulshan Abi) and more showers are forecast for the next two days, with authorities warning of urban flooding in low-lying areas. Khyber Flash Floods: In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, torrential rain triggered flash floods and deaths in Landi Kotal/Jamrud areas, with Rescue 1122 reporting multiple fatalities and damage to homes and roads. Afghanistan Spillover: Afghanistan’s Nuristan province also faced deadly flash flooding, with at least 20 killed and 100+ missing, underscoring the wider regional climate risk. Fuel & Cost Pressure: Pakistan’s new daily fuel pricing mechanism cut petrol slightly but raised high-speed diesel sharply, a move likely to lift transport and logistics costs. Regional Diplomacy: Iran’s interior minister arrived in Islamabad for talks on border cooperation and regional security, as Pakistan and Qatar also floated a de-escalation plan involving reopening the Strait of Hormuz and easing US-Iran measures. Balochistan Security: Escalating violence in Balochistan is again flagged as a major threat to CPEC progress and logistics around Gwadar.

Monsoon Disaster Watch: Torrential monsoon rains have already triggered flash floods and river flooding across Pakistan, sweeping away vehicles, damaging schools, homes and bridges, and disrupting travel—Punjab’s PDMA warns water levels could rise further through July 24. Flood Alerts (Punjab & Rivers): PDMA reports low-level flooding at key Chenab points (Khanqi Headworks, Qadirabad) and flags urban flooding risks in Lahore, Gujranwala, Bahawalpur and Rawalpindi divisions, while NDMA/FFD warnings also point to swelling rivers and possible flash floods. Climate & Food Security: Pakistan’s rising temperatures and erratic rainfall are increasingly threatening wheat and rice yields, pushing climate-smart farming and better irrigation to the top of the agenda. Wildlife Conservation: Pakistan–China cooperation gets a boost with a new Indus River Dolphin rescue and awareness ambulance with WWF-Pakistan support. Health Access: Cancer patients face delays as 40 newly registered medicines can’t be sold until government price approvals land, forcing many into costly informal imports. Energy & Cost Pressure: With Middle East tensions lifting oil prices, the government is considering fuel conservation/austerity steps and keeping petrol/diesel revisions to working days. Policy & Infrastructure: PM Shehbaz orders timely completion of national development projects, while Railways finalises restoration plans for Lahore and Taxila stations.

Monsoon Flood Alerts: NDMA and Punjab PDMA have issued province-wide warnings for July 19–23/24, flagging heavy rains, flash floods, river surges and urban flooding risk across Punjab (including Lahore, Rawalpindi, Gujranwala, Sialkot and others), with high flood potential on Chenab (Marala) and Jhelum (Mangla) and possible hill-torrent flooding in Dera Ghazi Khan. Garbage & Urban Waste: Lahore’s rising waste problem is stressing the city’s solid waste system, with residents reporting garbage piling up at temporary dumping points and links to foul smells, pests and air pollution. Circular Industry Push: SOHAR Port and Freezone broke ground on a $50m zinc recycling and processing industrial park, aiming to recover zinc residues and produce refined zinc ingots and zinc oxide—an example of circular manufacturing that can matter for regional supply chains. Health Access Gap: A report says Pakistan’s framework for safeguarding children is still too weak in practice, leaving minors vulnerable to exploitation and abuse. Public Health Workforce: Pharmacists are calling for clearer prescribing authority with proper training, especially as Pakistan’s primary care access remains limited. Industrial Growth in Punjab: Colour & Chem Expo 2026 wrapped up in Lahore with major B2B deals, while Punjab also unveiled a new industrial policy for free zones and incentives. AI for Disaster Readiness: China’s Mazu AI weather warning system is being used by multiple Global South countries, including Pakistan, to strengthen early warnings for extreme weather.

Disaster Preparedness: NDMA issued nationwide flash flood, urban flooding and landslide alerts for July 18–23, warning citizens across Gilgit Baltistan, KP, AJK, Punjab, Islamabad and parts of Balochistan to avoid travel and stay alert as heavy rain could trigger fast-rising rivers and debris on highways. Urban Sanitation: Punjab CM Maryam Nawaz handed over modern sewerage and drainage machinery to WASA, with the first phase delivering 272 machines across 15 districts and more procurement underway to tackle waterlogging and urban flooding. Healthcare Safety: Sindh Healthcare Commission intensified province-wide inspections in Karachi, flagging major compliance gaps in infection prevention and medical waste handling, with warnings issued to unregistered or improperly licensed facilities. Energy & Prices: Petroleum minister Ali Pervaiz Malik consulted oil stakeholders on shifting fuel pricing from weekly to daily reviews to improve transparency; meanwhile LPG marketers warned OGRA sealing of licensed plants could disrupt supply and raise prices. Climate & Seas: A new focus is emerging on warming Arabian Sea impacts, with marine heat waves threatening fisheries, seafood trade and coastal livelihoods. Pakistan-China Health Deals: Pakistan-China pharma and healthcare B2B talks concluded with $850m agreements, including contracts and MoUs for local production and vaccine manufacturing discussions. Conservation Note: WWF-USA highlighted Punjab’s Indus Dolphin Sanctuary as a major conservation milestone.

Monsoon & disasters: Pakistan’s weather agencies are warning of a fresh, heavy monsoon spell with flood risk across Punjab and other regions, as emergency departments push monsoon preparedness and monitoring. Glacier hazards: In Khyber Pakhtunkhwa’s Swat, a GLOF incident during a trek near Falak Sar Peak left one mountaineer missing and others rescued/injured, underlining how fast mountain conditions can turn deadly. Wildlife & pollution: WWF-USA hails Punjab’s Indus Dolphin Sanctuary as a conservation milestone, while EcoWaste Coalition flags mercury contamination in a Pakistan-made skin-lightening product, raising public health and environmental concerns. Energy & environment policy: Petroleum Minister Ali Pervaiz Malik defends a shift to daily fuel price adjustments to curb market abuse and improve transparency. Climate finance debate: A new discussion questions whether Pakistan’s “climate support” levies are truly for climate action or mainly revenue grabs. Regional security spillover: Pakistan’s mediation push faces strain as Iran and the US trade attacks, with Islamabad urging de-escalation to protect regional stability. Green shipping: Karachi Port welcomed a hybrid RoRo vessel carrying 2,000+ EVs, a step toward lower-emission maritime logistics.

Monsoon Watch (Punjab): PDMA warns a second monsoon spell will hit Lahore and many Punjab cities from July 19–24 with heavy rains, thunderstorms, and flash-flood risk, especially in Rawalpindi, Murree/Galiyat, Lahore, Sialkot, Multan and Faisalabad. Heat & Health (Pakistan study): A new analysis of nearly 47,000 births in Karachi, Lahore, Muzaffargarh and Badin finds extreme heat during pregnancy shows little to no link with premature births after adjusting for city and seasonal factors. Extreme Weather Ahead (National): PMD forecasts widespread rain, windstorms and thundershowers across Pakistan from July 18–25, with threats of landslides and urban flooding. Conservation (Indus dolphins): WWF-Pakistan commends Maryam for a landmark initiative to protect endangered Indus River dolphins. Clean Mobility (Karachi): Pakistan’s first RoRo shipment brings 2,000+ electric vehicles to Karachi Port, signaling a push toward cleaner transport supply chains. Renewables (Thatta): Nepra grants generation concurrence for a 269MW wind-solar hybrid project at Dhabeji, supporting K-Electric’s renewable expansion. Climate Risk Planning (El Niño): Experts urge fast preparation for strengthening El Niño conditions that could worsen heat, floods and droughts across vulnerable regions including Pakistan.

Monsoon Watch: Pakistan’s NDMA and PMD warn of widespread rain, thunderstorms and strong winds from July 18-25, with landslide and flash-flood risks in upper regions and major urban flooding concerns in cities like Islamabad, Rawalpindi, Lahore and Peshawar. AI for Weather: Pakistan Meteorological Department says China’s MAZU AI system is helping detect early warning signs for floods, droughts and extreme events ahead of the monsoon. Global AI Moves: Pakistan became a founding member of the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization (WAICO) in Shanghai, aiming to reduce the global AI divide and push responsible, inclusive AI governance. Wildlife & Research: Pakistani researcher Bilal Mustafa won a Young Researcher of the Year award for work on how trophy hunting affects mountain carnivores, ungulates and communities around the Karakoram. Trade & Rights Pressure: A new EU GSP+ review flags Pakistan’s democratic and human-rights gaps, warning that preferential access depends on meeting commitments across rights, labour and environmental standards. CPEC 2.0 Boost: PM Shehbaz welcomed nine Pakistan-China pharma deals worth about $440m, pushing manufacturing, vaccines and R&D under CPEC 2.0.

EU GSP+ Pressure: The EU warned Pakistan that human-rights shortcomings could cost it GSP+ trade benefits, citing regressions in rule of law, civil society space, and rights protections under revised 2027-2036 rules. Monsoon Readiness (Ravi): Punjab’s WASA says drainage stations on the Ravi are fully functional again, with repaired pumps and iron gates to protect Lahore during floods. Food Safety Overhaul (Punjab): Punjab is rolling out modern food-safety reforms, including digital monitoring and body cameras, promising tougher action against adulterated products. Hospital Cleanliness Push (Punjab): Lahore General Hospital appointed a new deputy admin and ordered strict hygiene and cleanliness checks, while Gujrat’s health minister made surprise inspections to improve patient care. Water for Farms (Punjab): The New Jalalpur Canal’s trial water release has been completed, aiming to cut groundwater dependence and boost irrigation for Jhelum and Khushab. AI Infrastructure (Federal): NTC signed a deal to provide GPUaaS and model services for public-sector AI, keeping sensitive data in Pakistan. Climate/Disaster Lens: A global reminder on how extreme floods demand stronger preparedness and resilience, as fresh flash-flood deaths were reported abroad.

EU GSP+ Trade: Pakistan remains the EU’s top GSP+ beneficiary, with €7.1bn in exports to the bloc in 2024 and a 95%+ utilisation rate, plus about €732m in tariff exemptions—mostly textiles and clothing. EU Compliance Warning: The EU also flags a widening gap between reforms and human-rights realities, warning access could be at risk under revised rules from 2027. GM Maize Review: Finance Minister Aurangzeb chairs a science-based committee review on commercialising GM maize, weighing biosafety, coexistence, productivity and farmer impacts. Indus Waters Treaty Pressure: India’s push to renegotiate the Indus Waters Treaty is framed as a direct threat to Pakistan’s water security and agriculture dependence. Monsoon & Disaster Readiness: PM Shehbaz orders contingency planning and tighter coordination for climate threats and monsoon risks, including action against artificial fuel shortages. Cleaner Transport in Punjab: Maryam Nawaz launches green electric buses in five cities and targets 5,000 buses across Punjab in five years. Smart Agriculture & Climate Tech: China-Pakistan research cooperation expands with a joint green smart agriculture lab, while AI weather early-warning systems are set to scale with Pakistan included. Mobile Security: PTA fines four major operators Rs740m over SIM issuance without consent, citing franchise oversight and biometric verification failures.

Monsoon Preparedness: NDMA’s NEOC issued a fresh weather alert for moderate to heavy monsoon rains starting July 13, warning of flood and landslide risks and urging precaution as Pakistan faces escalating climate extremes. Water & Dams: In Reasi, authorities warned residents to stay away from Chenab River banks as Salal and Baglihar reservoir silt-flushing will raise water levels; spillway gates are set to remain open from July 17–26. Livestock & Disease Control: PM Shehbaz said the federal government will fully fund an indigenous foot-and-mouth vaccine and launched Pakistan’s Animal Identification and Traceability System to boost exports. Fair Markets: CCP chair met NAB to strengthen cooperation against anti-competitive practices and market malpractice. Insurance Access: A new push argues AI could help close Pakistan’s low insurance penetration gap by enabling real risk conversations with small businesses and families. Punjab Industry Push: CM Maryam Nawaz launched a pink salt value-add financing scheme, including an industrial processing zone and interest-free loans for exporters. NFC Formula Debate: Finance Minister Aurangzeb hinted the population weight in the NFC Award may be reviewed as Pakistan tackles population growth and climate change. Wildlife Conservation: A ranger-led crackdown in Kyrgyzstan highlights how illegal hunting of snow leopards is being met with arrests and steep fines.

Monsoon & Disaster Preparedness: Pakistan’s NDMA says it’s pushing tighter coordination with provinces as PMD warns of flood risks, glacier melt and flash floods across the north; a UN delegation also visited NDMA’s NEOC, praising Pakistan’s early warning and emergency readiness. Tragedy on the Ground: Heavy rain in Kohat, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, killed 11 after a mud-brick house roof collapsed, while monsoon alerts continue across the country. Water & Climate Risk: A new focus on “water wall” hazards highlights how melting glaciers and glacial lake bursts can turn monsoon season into catastrophe for mountain communities. Energy Security: DPM/FM Ishaq Dar chaired an E&P committee meeting, stressing higher domestic oil and gas production and steps to tackle circular debt and LNG supply. Debt & Economy: Pakistan repaid over Rs4.72trn debt ahead of schedule, with officials citing improved fiscal discipline and a lower debt-to-GDP ratio. Industry & Jobs: Punjab launched interest-free pink salt value-add loans and a processing zone plan to boost exports and employment. AI Diplomacy: Ishaq Dar will sign Pakistan’s founding role in WAICO in Shanghai and push Global South priorities on AI governance.